Jacksonville State — 2026 schedule & results record 5-2 · model's picks 6-0 so far
Proj rating -8.3 · SOS -12.1 · Mean wins 6.4 · Picked 8-4 · Vegas 7.5
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat 08/29 | North Dakota State | away | L 7–33 | +6.75 ✗ | — | — | — | |
| 1 | Sat 09/05 | Eastern Kentucky | home | W 49–7 | -22.25 ✓ | +22.5 | 91% | W ✓ | |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Ohio | away | L 27–29 | +1.75 ✗ | -6.9 | 34% | L ✓ | |
| 3 | Sat 09/19 | Georgia Southern | home | W 31–27 | -3.5 ✓ | +3.7 | 59% | W ✓ | |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | Middle Tennessee | home | W 23–13 | -7 ✓ | +7.9 | 68% | W ✓ | |
| 6 | Wed 10/07 | Kennesaw State | away | W 27–26 | -3 ✗ | +1.6 | 55% | W ✓ |
Jacksonville State -3 · LOSS -20 |
| 7 | Tue 10/13 | Florida International | home | W 27–24 | -3 push | +2.1 | 55% | W ✓ |
Jacksonville State -3 · PUSH +0 |
| 9 | Wed 10/28 | New Mexico State | away | — | -3.25 | +3.3 | 58% | W | |
| 10 | Sat 11/07 | Sam Houston | home | — | — | +12.8 | 78% | W | |
| 11 | Sat 11/14 | Western Kentucky | away | — | — | -10.2 | 28% | L | |
| 12 | Sat 11/21 | Missouri State | home | — | — | +6.9 | 66% | W | |
| 13 | Sat 11/28 | Delaware | away | — | — | -1.0 | 48% | L |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.